Understanding effects of temperature and precipitation in the dynamics of the mosquito population
Palavras-chave:
Mosquito population, Temperature, Precipitation, Deterministic models, Aedes aegyptiResumo
Mosquito populations are crucial factors in understanding the spread of mosquito-borne diseases. Deterministic models can be used to analyze these populations by incorporating local mosquito characteristics, temperature, and precipitation data. Moreover, temperature is recognized as a significant factor influencing disease transmission. This study utilizes real weather data from the Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) alongside trap data collected from Miami-Dade County (2017-2019) to analyze mosquito populations. Additionally, information from traps in the same area is accessible to verify and refine the model predictions and parameters. An ODE model with time-dependent parameters to simulate the mosquito (Ae. aegypti) population (in a community) is represented by specific equations. This model considers adult female Aedes aegypti because only female mosquitoes seek blood meals and could be attracted to traps. The analysis aims to ascertain whether the solution can adequately explain the data obtained from the traps, thereby enhancing our understanding of mosquito population dynamics in response to environmental factors.
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Referências
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