The role of import and increasing mosquito abundance in vector-borne disease invasion scenarios
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5540/03.2025.011.01.0489Palavras-chave:
Critical Fluctuations, Power Laws, COVID-19, Dengue Fever, Zika, ChikungunyaResumo
We investigate invasion scenarios of vector-borne diseases in yet non-endemic areas of the world, where imported human cases from endemic countries can trigger outbreaks of autochthonous cases. We focus mainly on vector-borne diseases like dengue fever, chikungunya, and Zika, transmitted by mosquitoes. For increasing mosquito abundance due to changing environmental conditions, the epidemiological system approaches from below a critical epidemiological threshold, at which large critical fluctuations appear, and power law scaling can be observed, like previously described e.g. in the COVID-19 pandemic after the lockdown lifting in mid 2020.
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Referências
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